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[monks data]
Brechin City
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Glebe Park
Livingston logo

Brechin
0 - 3
Livingston

FT(HT: 0-1)
Parkes (1'), Obileye (61'), Longridge (90+1')

Preview: Brechin City vs. Livingston - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Brechin City and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Highlands League side Brechin City welcome Scottish Premiership outfit Livingston to Glebe Park on Saturday afternoon for their opening match in the League Cup group stages.

The hosts head into this encounter after losing 4-1 to Dundee United in a pre-season friendly last weekend, while the visitors won both of their warm-up games 3-0 and 4-0 against East Stirlingshire and Arbroath respectively.


Match preview

For the first time in 67 years, Brechin City will not be competing in the SPFL, following their 3-1 defeat on aggregate to Kelty Hearts in the League Two playoff final, which confirmed their relegation to the Highlands League.

Player-coach Michael Paton has since left the club with former Hearts Women's manager Andy Kirk appointed as his replacement.

The 42-year-old is tasked with guiding City – who were in the Championship just five years ago – back into the fourth tier of Scottish football at the first attempt, but he must first turn his attention to the League Cup, with four games in 10 days to prepare for.

Brechin have failed to win any of their last nine meetings against Livingston, and although a victory on Saturday is unlikely, Kirk will be hoping that his side can at least put up at fight and begin the new campaign with a positive performance.

Livingston manager David Martindale pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Livingston head into the 2021-22 campaign after accumulating their highest points total in their top-flight history last season – finishing in sixth place – and also reaching the League Cup final at Hampden Park.

The Lions were unable to win the competition for the first time since 2004, as they lost 1-0 St Johnstone in February.

Head coach David Martindale was not in charge of Livingston during the group stages last season – in which the Lions scored 15 goals and won all four of their matches – but he is hoping that his side can replicate that form this term and reach the latter stages of the League Cup once again.

Livingston last faced Brechin in the Championship five years ago, where they won three and drew one of their four encounters, scoring at least twice on each occasion.

The Lions will fancy their chances of claiming all three points on Saturday, as they look to begin the new campaign on a high.

Brechin City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Livingston form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W


Team News

Rangers defender Filip Helander gets a shot away in the Scottish Premiership clash with Livingston on August 16, 2020© Reuters

Brechin City's defender Iain Davidson, who joined the club from Raith Rovers this summer, is unavailable for the next two matches due to suspension, after being found guilty of using discriminatory language towards Inverness striker Nikolay Todorov in March.

With only 10 senior players available to play this weekend, Kirk is set to name a number of trialists in his squad, with a few likely to feature.

Experienced forward Garry Woods, who has joined from Formartine United, is expected to lead the line up front alongside Rory Currie.

As for Livingston, goalkeeper Max Stryjek is set to replace Norwich City loanee Daniel Barden, who started the last pre-season friendly against Arbroath.

One of Jackson Longridge, Adam Lewis or Jack McMillan is likely to play at left-back, while Tom Parkes could make his competitive debut for the Lions at centre-back alongside Jack Fitzwater.

With forward Jay Emmanuel-Thomas leaving the club to join Aberdeen, Bruce Anderson has made the switch in the opposite direction and is set to start up front on Saturday.

Brechin City possible starting lineup:
Wills; Trialist, Bollan, Jordan, Docherty; Paton, Mackintosh, Inglis, Cox; Wood, Currie

Livingston possible starting lineup:
Stryjek; Devlin, Fitzwater, Parkes, Longridge; Bartley, Holt; Forrest, Pittman, Kabia; Anderson


SM words green background

We say: Brechin City 0-3 Livingston

With four divisions separating Brechin City and Livingston, Saturday's fixture will strongly favour the Premiership visitors.

Livingston have found their form in front of goal during pre-season and we expect them to continue with another convincing performance and victory at Glebe Park.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 85.03%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 4.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.38%) and 0-4 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.92%), while for a Brechin City win it was 1-0 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Brechin vs Livingston

Brechin City
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Livingston
66.7%
9
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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