Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 26, 2022 at 12am UK

Estádio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Manga (40')
Val (18'), Alexandre (27'), Henrique (31'), Castan (84'), Anderson (84')
Anderson (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (60'), Igor (84'), Jenison (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba have done an excellent job at defending the dangerous scoring areas of the field, however they rarely seem to be able to muster much offence on the road, and it will not be easy to penetrate a rock-solid backline in Coritiba, who play their best at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Cuiaba
56.5% ( 0.91)	25.18% ( -0.27)	18.32% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 42.9% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.92% (

0.2)

58.08% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25% (

0.16)

78.75% (

-0.16)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

0.45)

20.58% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89% (

0.7)

53.12% (

-0.7)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.01% (

-0.64)

45.99% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.29% (

-0.5)

81.71% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 56.49%

Cuiaba 18.32%

Draw 25.18%

Coritiba	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.49%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.32%