Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.