Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo5 - 1Juventude
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Juventude.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Atletico GO
Friday, April 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Friday, April 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-0 Corinthians
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result | ||
Botafogo | Draw | Juventude |
50.84% ( -0.83) | 26.06% ( 0.36) | 23.09% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 46.78% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.65% ( -0.88) | 56.35% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% ( -0.72) | 77.37% ( 0.72) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -0.73) | 22.23% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( -1.1) | 55.66% ( 1.1) |
Juventude Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% ( -0.04) | 39.84% ( 0.04) |