Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Juventude
67.36% ( -0.27)	18.71% ( 0.02)	13.92% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.57% (

0.47)

39.43% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22% (

0.49)

61.77% (

-0.49)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.22% (

0.06)

10.78% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.2% (

0.14)

34.8% (

-0.14)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

0.66)

40.47% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

0.59)

77.08% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Ceara 67.36%

Juventude 13.92%

Draw 18.71%

Ceara	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.29% Total : 67.36%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.71%	1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.92%