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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Luton Town

Blackburn
2 - 2
Luton

Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Luton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town square off on Saturday afternoon looking to retain their positions in the top half of the Championship standings.

While Rovers hold a one-point and two-place advantage over the visitors, both sides have failed to prevail in their last two fixtures.


Match preview

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured in December 2020© Reuters

After a summer of uncertainty involving star man Adam Armstrong, Blackburn started the season heading somewhat into the unknown.

However, Tony Mowbray will be relatively satisfied with accumulating seven points from their five fixtures, the only defeat coming at home to title-chasing West Bromwich Albion.

Despite the departure of Armstrong, Rovers have still managed to score in every league fixture, Ben Brereton Diaz and Sam Gallagher netting five times between themselves.

First-team additions also arrived during the closing days of the transfer window with Brighton & Albion youngster Reda Khadra one of a number of players to move to Ewood Park.

While they may have to remain patient for a starting spot, the extra competition is long overdue as Blackburn attempt to remain at the right end of the table.

Luton Town's Amari'i Bell celebrates scoring their first goal against Barnsley in the Championship on August 17, 2021© Reuters

Luton will also be satisfied with their start to the new campaign, despite the disappointing results before the international break.

The Hatters have made some shrewd signings in recent months, including the acquisition of former Blackburn defender Amari'i Bell.

Nathan Jones will demand more from some of his other new faces, but sitting safely in 12th position will be deemed acceptable at this stage.

On the negative side, Luton have gone 266 minutes since scoring their last goal in the second tier, a streak which Jones will be desperate to end on Saturday afternoon.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D

Blackburn Rovers form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D

Luton Town Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Luton Town form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured on April 21, 2021© Reuters

Blackburn will be without Hayden Carter after the defender was dismissed for two yellow cards against Middlesbrough.

Tyler Magloire could deputise at right-back, while Leighton Clarkson and Ian Poveda-Ocampo will hope to retain their places further forward.

Brereton Diaz is unable to play after Blackburn prevented him from linking up with Chile, a decision which should see Tyrhys Dolan return to the starting lineup.

Barring any injury issues, Jones could select the same Luton XI which started the game with Sheffield United.

The form of Gabriel Osho in a central midfield role will likely result in Glen Rea having to wait for his first league start of the season.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Magloire, Lenihan, Ayala, Pickering; Clarkson, Travis; Dolan, Poveda, Rothwell; Gallagher

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Burke, Naismith, Bell; Osho, Mpanzu; Cornick, Campbell, Onyedinma; Adebayo


SM words green background

We say: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Luton Town

This is a fixture between two evenly-matched sides who will recognise that games such as this one could prove to be the difference between a playoff chase and mid-table. While Luton impressed during the opening month, we are siding with Blackburn who may benefit from the arrival of several fresh faces.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Blackburn vs Luton

Blackburn Rovers
67.2%
Draw
23.0%
Luton Town
9.8%
61
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1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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