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Birmingham logo
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Millwall logo

Birmingham
0 - 0
Millwall


Leko (28'), Sunjic (79')
FT

Wallace (21')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Birmingham City and Millwall will both be looking to bring an end to their winless runs when they face off at St Andrew's on Saturday afternoon.

The hosts are without a victory in four, while Millwall have gone six matches since last picking up all three points heading into this clash in the West Midlands.


Match preview

Millwall's Jed Wallace celebrates scoring against Reading in the Championship on November 25, 2020© Reuters

Despite collecting just four points from the last 15 on offer since beating Preston North End 2-0 last month, Millwall are still well in the early promotion mix.

The Lions, now managed by ex-Blues boss Gary Rowett, are positioned 10th and are only four points behind Reading in the final playoff spot.

Rowett admitted on the back of Wednesday's 1-1 draw with the Royals that his side have not picked up as many wins as he would have liked.

Jed Wallace's superb first-half free kick was cancelled out by Lucas Joao as Reading - previously without a point in four matches - held on for a share of the spoils.

That was Millwall's fourth draw in a row, after also playing out stalemates with Norwich City, Sheffield Wednesday and Cardiff City in November.

Away from home, the capital club have won two and drawn two of their last four games, keeping a clean sheet in the last three of those.

Birmingham City's Scott Hogan celebrates scoring on November 7, 2020© Reuters

In fact, they have kept 11 shutouts in 16 away league outings in 2020, which is the most by a Championship side in one year since Brighton & Hove Albion's 12 in 2013.

This is a fixture Millwall tend to do well in, too, as they are unbeaten in their last four league trips to St Andrew's, winning three in a row prior to last term's 1-1 draw.

Birmingham have themselves played out back-to-back away draws, against Coventry City and Luton Town, and are down in 17th place.

City probably should have come away from Kenilworth Road with a first win since October, but Ivan Sunjic was denied from a one-on-one in second-half stoppage time, although Neil Etheridge did have to produce a string of fine saves before that.

An away point is never a bad result in the Championship, of course, but at home the Blues have lost back-to-back matches, giving them the sixth-worst record in the division.

Birmingham City Championship form: WWLLDD

Millwall Championship form: WLDDDD


Team News

Troy Parrott in action for Republic of Ireland on November 14, 2019© Reuters

Birmingham pair Adam Clayton and Zach Jeacock are carrying ankle injuries and will play no part in this game.

Kristian Pedersen was back in the squad last time out and will be looking to play a part this weekend.

Jake Clarke-Salter got 75 minutes under his belt on his return to action against Luton, but it remains to be seen if he is fit enough to start again.

As for Millwall, Connor Mahoney and Mason Bennett remain fitness doubts after missing the draw with Luton.

Troy Parrott led the line in midweek on what was his first Championship start since joining on loan from Tottenham Hotspur, but Aitor Karanka may opt to bring in Matt Smith.

Mahlon Romeo remains sidelined, meanwhile, so Ryan Leonard will fill in at right-back, and striker Kenneth Zohore is also out.

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Colin, Roberts, Dean, Clarke-Salter, Friend; Gardner, San Jose, Sunjic; Hogan, Jutkiewicz

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Leonard, Hutchinson, Cooper, M.Wallace; Woods, Williams, J.Wallace, Thompson, Malone; Parrott


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 1-0 Millwall

Birmingham have picked up just one victory in their last seven league meetings with Millwall, drawing two and losing four of those.

However, Millwall boss Rowett is winless in his last four games against his former side and we can see Birmingham snatching a much-needed win on Saturday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Birmingham vs Millwall

Birmingham City
47.5%
Draw
23.8%
Millwall
28.8%
80
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Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on October 4, 2020
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Group A

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3 Hungary Hungary10010
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Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
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