Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union SG in this match.