Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.