Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate3 - 1Arsenal
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Arsenal Sarandi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Catolica
Saturday, September 9 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, September 9 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
71% ( 0.58) | 17.8% ( -0.36) | 11.19% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.84% ( 1.05) | 42.16% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.44% ( 1.05) | 64.56% ( -1.05) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.4% ( 0.44) | 10.6% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.6% ( 0.97) | 34.4% ( -0.97) |
Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.38% ( 0.29) | 46.62% ( -0.29) |