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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 1
Arsenal

Borja (3', 75' pen.), de la Cruz (29')
Funes Mori (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cejas (58')
Pombo (14')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawArsenal Sarandi
71% (0.57899999999999 0.58) 17.8% (-0.361 -0.36) 11.19% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.72% (0.495 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (1.054 1.05)42.16% (-1.052 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (1.049 1.05)64.56% (-1.047 -1.05)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.4% (0.44 0.44)10.6% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.6% (0.97499999999999 0.97)34.4% (-0.973 -0.97)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.38% (0.29499999999999 0.29)46.62% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.8% (0.223 0.22)82.2% (-0.221 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 71%
    Arsenal Sarandi 11.19%
    Draw 17.8%
River PlateDrawArsenal Sarandi
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.31% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.065 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.34% (0.102 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 71%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.8%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 11.19%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
1-2
Arsenal
Guzman (64' pen.), Leal dos Anjos (81')
Aug 17, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal
0-0
River Plate
Herrera (60'), Simon (76')
Sep 20, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
River Plate
1-0
Arsenal
Mendez (74' og.)

Mendez (84')
Apr 4, 2021 1am
First Phase
Arsenal
0-0
River Plate
Soraire (4'), Picco (13'), Castro (24'), Farioli (71'), Albertengo (84')
Farioli (76')
Suarez (68')
Dec 28, 2020 12.30am
Fase Campeon
River Plate
2-1
Arsenal
Zuculini (44'), Pinola (58'), De La Cruz (67')
Carabajal (24'), Mendez (65'), Picco (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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