Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Tigre
44.67% ( -0.15)	29.24% ( -0)	26.09% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 41.2% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.17% (

0.08)

64.83% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.23% (

0.05)

83.77% (

-0.06)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.04)

29.09% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-0.05)

65.01% (

0.05)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.11% (

0.18)

41.89% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.66% (

0.16)

78.34% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 44.66%

Tigre 26.08%

Draw 29.24%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 15.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 44.66%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.24%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 26.08%