Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6

Feb 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
4 - 1
Sarmiento

Sanchez (29'), Barinaga (31'), Reyna (40'), Lencioni (71')
Meriano (14'), Rolon (38'), Maffini (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Quiroga (25')
Monaco (26'), Mauri (38'), Calcaterra (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 1-1 Belgrano
Thursday, February 15 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Lanus
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.23%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Sarmiento
48.26% ( -0.5)	29.32% ( 0.06)	22.41% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 38.18% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.94% (

0.1)

67.06% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.69% (

0.06)

85.3% (

-0.07)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-0.21)

28.3% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-0.26)

64.03% (

0.26)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.25% (

0.51)

46.75% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.7% (

0.39)

82.3% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 48.26%

Sarmiento 22.41%

Draw 29.31%

Belgrano	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 48.26%	0-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.31%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.41%