Sarmiento

2 - 3

Defensa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.