Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 9

May 22, 2022 at 2pm UK

Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs
2 - 1
Degerfors

Mensah (33'), Winbo (90+3')
Mensah (59'), Stanisic (69'), Winbo (85')
Matthews (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Campos (57')
Whiteman (69'), Saidi (85')
Ohlsson (90')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Degerfors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Degerfors
48.28% ( 0.2)	25.35% ( -0.17)	26.37% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.02% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.94% (

0.65)

51.06% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.08% (

0.57)

72.92% (

-0.56)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

0.35)

21.17% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

0.54)

54.03% (

-0.54)

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

0.33)

34.02% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3% (

0.35)

70.7% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Varbergs BoIS 48.27%

Degerfors 26.37%

Draw 25.34%

Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Degerfors
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.27%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.37%