Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11

Jun 27, 2022 at 6pm UK

Boras Arena

Elfsborg
4 - 1
Varbergs

Bernhardsson (45+1'), Olsson (77'), Alm (82'), Larsson (90+6')
Bernhardsson (17'), Henriksson (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Simovic (32' pen.)
Mensah (90')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
69.8% ( 0.69)	19.01% ( -0.1)	11.19% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 43.75% (

-1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

-1.06)

47.48% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

-0.99)

69.69% (

0.99)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.12)

12.43% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.65% (

-0.24)

38.35% (

0.24)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.96% (

-1.72)

50.03% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.32% (

-1.22)

84.68% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 69.78%

Varbergs BoIS 11.19%

Draw 19.01%

Elfsborg	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.51) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.88% Total : 69.78%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.01%	0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.28% Total : 11.19%