MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:46:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 at 2pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
1 - 0
Sirius

Frick (48')
Lagerbielke (45+2'), Boateng (82'), Jalal Abdulai (87'), Henriksson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Heier (45+2'), Bjarnason (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hacken 3-1 Elfsborg
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 0-1 AIK
Monday, July 31 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Elfsborg 3-0 Sirius

We expect the league leaders to bounce straight back from last weekend's defeat by making light work of struggling Sirius, who are on course to suffer a fifth loss in six Allsvenskan outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawSirius
65.38% (-0.202 -0.2) 19.43% (-0.267 -0.27) 15.19% (0.476 0.48)
Both teams to score 53.93% (2.174 2.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (2.261 2.26)40% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63% (2.3 2.3)62.37% (-2.294 -2.29)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (0.61199999999999 0.61)11.47% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.7% (1.301 1.3)36.3% (-1.294 -1.29)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (2.052 2.05)39.09% (-2.046 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (1.872 1.87)75.81% (-1.865 -1.87)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 65.38%
    Sirius 15.19%
    Draw 19.43%
ElfsborgDrawSirius
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.784 -0.78)
3-0 @ 7.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.13% (0.179 0.18)
4-0 @ 4.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.262 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.182 0.18)
5-0 @ 1.78% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.483 -0.48)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.43%
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.155 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.19%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Sirius

Elfsborg
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
0.0%
10
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Sirius
3-4
Elfsborg
Bjarnason (32'), Alsanti (45+2'), Heier (55')
Aron Gudjohnsen (18'), Mathisen (52' og.), Cooper Love (87'), Larsson (89')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Elfsborg
3-0
Sirius
Voelkerling-Persson (25' og.), Bernhardsson (45+1'), Aron Gudjohnsen (75')
May 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sirius
2-0
Elfsborg
Kouakou (56'), Bjarnason (63')
Zeidan (64'), Roche (66')

Lagerbielke (57'), Romer (61')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Elfsborg
3-0
Sirius
Aron Gudjohnsen (4', 28'), Larsson (42')
Jarjue (80')

Ortmark (53'), Mathisen (63'), Colley (63')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sirius
0-2
Elfsborg

Hellborg (62')
Ndione (11'), Bernhardsson (81')
Gojani (45'), Strand (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo28187363224161
2HammarbyHammarby28165746222453
3AIK FotbollAIK2816394139251
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden2815584233950
5Mjallby AIF2813784234846
6HackenHacken28126105348542
7GAISGAIS28126103232042
8ElfsborgElfsborg28125115144741
9SiriusSirius28124124543240
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna28810104550-534
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2887133454-2031
12IFK GoteborgGoteborg2879123241-930
13Halmstads BKHalmstad2893163045-1530
14Varnamo2869132940-1127
15KalmarKalmar2875163657-2126
16Vasteras SKVasteras2855182542-1720


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!