With the two sides level on points, we feel that Saturday's encounter will be a closely-fought contest, but we think that Sirius will draw inspiration from the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings between the two sides and go on to claim a narrow victory over Degerfors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
Degerfors	Draw	Sirius
41.68% ( 0.02)	25.68%	32.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

-0)

49.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0)

71.44% (

0.01)

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

0.01)

23.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

0.02)

57.55% (

-0.01)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0.01)

28.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-0.02)

64.42% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Degerfors 41.68%

Sirius 32.64%

Draw 25.67%

Degerfors	Draw	Sirius
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.64%