MX23RW : Monday, December 23 13:49:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Studenternas IP
Hammarby

Sirius
1 - 2
Hammarby

Matthews (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Erabi (37'), Hammar (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Hammarby, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Sirius
Saturday, July 1 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Hammarby
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Sirius 1-2 Hammarby

While Hammarby do have a terrible away record on the road this season, this has been a fixture they have thrived in over the years, and they will see this as a genuine chance to bring an end to their winless away run. We expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet but feel that the visitors may just edge it before the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hammarby in this match.

Result
SiriusDrawHammarby
32.51% (0.185 0.19) 24.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 42.79% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.89% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (0.17599999999999 0.18)45.09% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.17 0.17)67.44% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.20100000000001 0.2)26.59% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (0.266 0.27)61.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)53.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sirius 32.51%
    Hammarby 42.79%
    Draw 24.7%
SiriusDrawHammarby
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.79%

How you voted: Sirius vs Hammarby

Sirius
35.3%
Draw
17.6%
Hammarby
47.1%
17
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Hammarby
1-1
Sirius
Nilsson (58')
Stensson (75')
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Sirius
0-3
Hammarby

Bjorkstrom (74')
Swedberg (41', 78'), Besara (46')
Kurtulus (13'), Swedberg (45')
Oct 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Sirius
0-1
Hammarby

Hellborg (27'), Girmai (34'), Mathisen (56')
Magyar (26')
Outtara (34'), Paulinho (90')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 5
Hammarby
3-2
Sirius
Khalili (14'), Andersen (46'), Amoo (51')
Ortmark (50'), Bulut (89')
Bjornstrom (11')
Aug 22, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 17
Sirius
3-1
Hammarby
Saeid (85' pen.), Vecchia (90' pen.), Andersson (90+5')
Ekdal (34')
Paulinho (39')
Ludwigson (78'), Soderstrom (89')
Widgren (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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