Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.