Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.