We said: Togo 1-2 Algeria
Togo were shockingly poor in the last match. In fact, to find the last time they conceded five goals in a match, you would have to go all the way back to a 2009 defeat against Bahrain.
That said, we are not suggesting that the hosts are likely to go on to win this match, but we do feel they will keep the scoreline more respectable in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
-0.04) 
0.06) 
