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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade du 19 Mai 1956
Togo national football team

Algeria
5 - 1
Togo

Benrahma (29', 55' pen.), Aouar (68'), Gouiri (86'), El Amine Amoura (90+6')
Boudaoui (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Klidje (11')
Dakonam (46'), Ouro-Gneni (53'), Romao (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 0-3 Algeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Togo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Monday, September 9 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Algeria 2-0 Togo

 Algeria's formidable home record in AFCON qualifiers, combined with their current winning streak and defensive solidity, makes them strong favourites to secure a victory. Togo, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, and with their talisman Kodjo Fo-Doh Laba unavailable, they are likely to find it difficult to break down the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Togo had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawTogo
61.55% (-0.982 -0.98) 22.79% (0.433 0.43) 15.65% (0.551 0.55)
Both teams to score 44.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (-0.703 -0.7)53.3% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-0.601 -0.6)74.85% (0.604 0.6)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (-0.581 -0.58)16.9% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (-1.046 -1.05)46.94% (1.05 1.05)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (0.348 0.35)46.56% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.84% (0.263 0.26)82.15% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 61.54%
    Togo 15.65%
    Draw 22.79%
AlgeriaDrawTogo
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 12.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.222 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 15.65%

How you voted: Algeria vs Togo

Algeria
87.8%
Draw
10.2%
Togo
2.0%
49
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2013 6pm
Group Stage
Algeria
0-2
Togo
Adebayor, Wome
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