Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.