Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Gnistan
52.97% ( 0.18)	22.69% ( -0.06)	24.34% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.72% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

0.17)

41.27% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

0.17)

63.67% (

-0.17)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.38% (

0.12)

15.61% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.39% (

0.23)

44.61% (

-0.22)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

30.42% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

66.62% (

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 52.97%

Gnistan 24.34%

Draw 22.68%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Gnistan
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.97%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 24.34%