Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.