Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.