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Fortuna Dusseldorf logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena

Dusseldorf
1 - 2
St Pauli

Tzolis (83')
Tzolis (30'), de Wijs (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hartel (16' pen., 26')
Vasilj (32'), Kemlein (51')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
30.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 22.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 47.72% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.75% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.078999999999994 0.08)34.25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)56.15% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.012 -0.01)22.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.87% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.131 0.13)43.21% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 30.09%
    St Pauli 47.72%
    Draw 22.19%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.72%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Metcalfe (52'), Hurzeler (53'), Sinani (90+5')
Mets (83')
Gavory (88')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Mets (39')
Hoffmann (53'), Ginczek (60'), Zimmermann (76'), Klarer (81')
Nov 5, 2022 12pm
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
Dec 11, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Dusseldorf
1-1
St Pauli
Hennings (68')
Nedelcu (23'), Piotrowski (71')
Hartel (47')
Smith (26')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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