DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Waldstadion Homburg
FC 08 Homburg1 - 4St Pauli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Pauli 2-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
We said: FC 08 Homburg 1-2 St Pauli
Homburg have already shown this season that they have the players capable of troubling sides in the top two divisions. As a result, we expect the fourth-tier outfit to put up another strong showing, but we believe that St Pauli's extra quality will be pivotal in the end, which is why we think that they will do enough to squeeze through to the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
Result | ||
FC 08 Homburg | Draw | St Pauli |
9.93% (![]() | 14.72% (![]() | 75.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.31% (![]() | 30.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.98% (![]() | 52.01% (![]() |
FC 08 Homburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.93% (![]() | 41.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.38% (![]() | 77.61% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.19% (![]() | 6.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.89% (![]() | 25.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC 08 Homburg 9.93%
St Pauli 75.34%
Draw 14.72%
FC 08 Homburg | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 2.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.93% | 1-1 @ 6.69% (![]() 2-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.72% | 0-2 @ 10.09% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.98% Total : 75.34% |
How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs St Pauli
FC 08 Homburg
13.9%Draw
8.3%St Pauli
77.8%36
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 23:56:29
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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7
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8
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9
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10
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