Sweden appear to have Poland's number given recent results, and the returns of two seasoned goalscorers in Lewandowski and Ibrahimovic certainly makes this encounter one to watch.
While Andersson's side left it all out on the pitch on Thursday, Poland's encounter with Scotland was not exactly relaxing, and given Sweden's attacking options in reserve, we are backing the Blue and Yellow to spoil the Polish party and advance to the finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
