Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Greece had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
