MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 23:43:27| >> :600:1158520:1158520:
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Paraguay national football team

Colombia
2 - 2
Paraguay

Diaz (1'), Duran (13')
Diaz (81'), Campaz (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alonso (45+4'), Enciso (62')
Galarza (49'), Galarza (49'), Fernandez Torres (85'), Velazquez (86'), Cubas (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 2-1 Colombia
Friday, March 21 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129
All competitions
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

We said: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay

Colombia will present a much stiffer attacking challenge you would think for Paraguay, and we expect the home side's talent and experience will help them defeat a compact defensive unit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
ColombiaDrawParaguay
64.25% (-0.495 -0.5) 22.46% (0.347 0.35) 13.29% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 40.02% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84% (-0.946 -0.95)56.16% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-0.773 -0.77)77.22% (0.773 0.77)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (-0.501 -0.5)16.97% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92% (-0.898 -0.9)47.08% (0.899 0.9)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.2% (-0.336 -0.34)51.8% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.13% (-0.22 -0.22)85.88% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 64.24%
    Paraguay 13.29%
    Draw 22.45%
ColombiaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 15.59% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 13.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.18% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 64.24%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.316 0.32)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.37%
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 13.29%

How you voted: Colombia vs Paraguay

Colombia
70.0%
Draw
14.4%
Paraguay
15.6%
90
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Colombia
2-1
Paraguay
Munoz (32'), Lerma (42')
Lerma (14')
Enciso (69')
Velazquez (53'), Cubas (78'), Oscar Garnero (90+4')
Nov 21, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Colombia

Jose Caceres (24'), Caballero (90+2')
Borre (11' pen.)
Arias (45'), Mina (45+1'), Munoz (69'), Cordoba (83')
Nov 20, 2022 1.20am
International Friendly
Colombia
2-0
Paraguay
Nov 16, 2021 11pm
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-1
Colombia
Sanabria (40')
Cuadrado (53' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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