World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Paraguay2 - 1Argentina
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Paraguay on Thursday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 6-0 Bolivia
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Paraguay 0-0 Argentina
Paraguay will set out their stall early on to go for a 0-0 draw here and chase a seventh clean sheet in 11 qualifiers, and their brilliant recent home form suggests they are capable. Argentina will know that they only need a few more points to progress to the finals, and a draw would not be a bad result for them either at a venue where they have only won once since 1997, ahead of a very enticing home clash with Peru next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paraguay | Draw | Argentina |
18.97% ( -0.18) | 24.58% ( 1.01) | 56.45% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 45.5% ( -3.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.83% ( -4.03) | 55.17% ( 4.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.59% ( -3.42) | 76.41% ( 3.43) |
Paraguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.5% ( -2.54) | 43.5% ( 2.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.29% ( -2.19) | 79.71% ( 2.2) |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% ( -1.82) | 19.46% ( 1.82) |