MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:23:18| >> :60:2191:2191:
Switzerland national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 5, 2023 at 6am UK
Eden Park
Spain national football team

Switzerland W
1 - 5
Spain Women

Codina (11' og.)
Stierli (73')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Bonmati (5', 36'), Redondo (17'), Codina (45'), Hermoso (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Switzerland Women and Spain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Switzerland W 0-0 New Zealand W
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Spain Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Spain Women
Monday, July 31 at 8am in Women's World Cup

We said: Switzerland Women 0-1 Spain Women

 With Switzerland's previous two games resulting in goalless draws, we expect Saturday's last-16 tie to be another cagey affair. Spain may have to be patient in their quest to break down the Switzerland defence, but we think that they have enough quality in the final third to find a way through and claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Switzerland Women had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Switzerland Women win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result
Switzerland WomenDrawSpain Women
17.73% (1.072 1.07) 21.65% (1.389 1.39) 60.62% (-2.462 -2.46)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-2.453 -2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-4.353 -4.35)45.29% (4.352 4.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-4.303 -4.3)67.63% (4.303 4.3)
Switzerland Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85% (-1.334 -1.33)39.15% (1.334 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.14% (-1.274 -1.27)75.86% (1.275 1.28)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-2.111 -2.11)14.48% (2.111 2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.53% (-4.238 -4.24)42.46% (4.238 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland Women 17.73%
    Spain Women 60.61%
    Draw 21.65%
Switzerland WomenDrawSpain Women
1-0 @ 5.32% (0.767 0.77)
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.195 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 17.73%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.762 0.76)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.991 0.99)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 10.95% (1.174 1.17)
0-2 @ 10.58% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.82% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.527 -0.53)
0-4 @ 3.29% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.527 -0.53)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.317 -0.32)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 60.61%

How you voted: 1st Group A vs 2nd Group C

1st Group A
34.5%
Draw
13.8%
2nd Group C
51.7%
29
rhs 2.0
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