MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 22:33:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 4
New Saints


Disney (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pask (7'), Brobbel (22'), Young (28', 56')
Marriott (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
30.15% (0.354 0.35) 23.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 46.18% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Both teams to score 60.35% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64% (0.426 0.43)41.36% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.24% (0.42899999999999 0.43)63.75% (-0.431 -0.43)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.444 0.44)26.26% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.59 0.59)61.37% (-0.59 -0.59)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)18.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (0.077999999999996 0.08)49.14% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 30.15%
    The New Saints 46.18%
    Draw 23.66%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.15%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 46.18%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Connah's Quay
1-1
New Saints
Horan (50')
Dafydd (90+5')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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