Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.