Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Swift Hesperange3 - 2New Saints
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Swift Hesperange and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swift Hesperange would win this match.
Result | ||
Swift Hesperange | Draw | The New Saints |
44.48% ( -0.68) | 23.13% ( -0.04) | 32.4% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 63.53% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.31% ( 0.49) | 37.69% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.07% ( 0.52) | 59.93% ( -0.52) |
Swift Hesperange Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% ( -0.07) | 17.39% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% ( -0.13) | 47.81% ( 0.14) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( 0.65) | 23.1% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( 0.94) | 56.95% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Swift Hesperange 44.48%
The New Saints 32.4%
Draw 23.12%
Swift Hesperange | Draw | The New Saints |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.4% |
How you voted: Swift Hesperange vs New Saints
Swift Hesperange
81.8%Draw
9.1%The New Saints
9.1%11
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
New Saints
1-1
Swift Hesperange
Carvalho Martins (14')
Couturier (64'), Spruds (87'), Daniel Melao Simoes (89')
Couturier (64'), Spruds (87'), Daniel Melao Simoes (89')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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