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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
3 - 0
Caernarfon

Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
48.56%23.07%28.37%
Both teams to score 61.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37%39.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02%61.98%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63%46.37%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44%26.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22%61.78%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 48.56%
    Caernarfon Town 28.37%
    Draw 23.07%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.65%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.37%

Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
3-0
Bala Town
Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
Mar 20, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
1-2
Caernarfon
Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
P-P
Caernarfon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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