Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.