Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Aug 27, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Progreso.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Progreso |
| 44.06% | 27.22% | 28.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
