Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Olimpik Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.