Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.