Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Olimpik Donetsk win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.