Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jun 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion im. Volodymyra Boyka
Mariupol2 - 1Dnipro-1
FT(HT: 2-0)
Khoblenko (66' pen.)
Loginov (45'), Svatok (58'), Di Franco (81')
Loginov (45'), Svatok (58'), Di Franco (81')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Dnipro-1.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mariupol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mariupol | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 38.5% | 25.91% | 35.59% |
| Both teams to score 54.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
