Kovalivka

1 - 0

Mariupol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kolos Kovalivka in this match.