Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inhulets in this match.