Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.