Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34
May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel1 - 1Lugano
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Lugano |
38.74% ( 0.02) | 24.03% ( 0.01) | 37.23% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( -0.06) | 41.03% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( -0.06) | 63.42% ( 0.06) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.02) | 21.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( -0.02) | 54.24% ( 0.03) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -0.05) | 22.05% ( 0.05) |