Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.