Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Genoa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Brescia
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Ternana
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Brescia | Draw | Genoa |
34.62% ( 0.49) | 28.2% ( -0.14) | 37.18% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 47.15% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.98% ( 0.53) | 59.03% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.51% ( 0.41) | 79.49% ( -0.41) |
Brescia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( 0.59) | 32.14% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( 0.67) | 68.63% ( -0.67) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( 0.05) | 30.52% ( -0.05) |