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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2022 at 5.05pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Roma logo

Spezia
0 - 1
Roma


Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')
Amian (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spezia 1-2 Roma

It will surely not be a straightforward process - as only Empoli have conceded more goals than Roma's 13 in Serie A during 2022 - but the visitors can return to the capital with all three points. Having lost consecutive games and starting without their first-choice striker, Spezia's downward trend will continue - with Juventus also on the horizon next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
22.28%21.97%55.76%
Both teams to score 58.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75%40.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.38%62.63%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39%31.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99%68.02%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66%14.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81%42.2%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 22.28%
    Roma 55.76%
    Draw 21.97%
SpeziaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 5.84%
1-0 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 6.37%
0-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.69%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55.76%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
18.3%
Draw
18.3%
Roma
63.4%
71
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

Gyasi (90+2')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Spezia
2-2
Roma
Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
Round Five
Roma
0-0
Spezia
Spezia win 4-2 on penalties
Ucan (19'), Vainqueur (40'), Rudiger (91')
Terzi (34'), Nene (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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